Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.955808 2.258848 2.591896 2.984896 3.435813 3.936860 4.535747
2025-04-06 1.532225 1.927241 2.397998 2.999708 3.747817 4.646866 5.809085
2025-04-13 1.169771 1.586416 2.119647 2.850726 3.825774 5.080283 6.816189
2025-04-20 0.994911 1.443031 2.054117 2.945759 4.211117 5.940036 8.479858
2025-04-27 0.877625 1.352673 2.038668 3.097334 4.685823 6.976221 10.525433
2025-05-04 0.764481 1.246025 1.978939 3.169622 5.049481 7.896113 12.526661
2025-05-11 0.665350 1.142109 1.903899 3.201583 5.348666 8.749573 14.533428
2025-05-18 0.562572 1.013990 1.769048 3.113813 5.438610 9.279096 16.087262
2025-05-25 0.468439 0.884244 1.610448 2.959284 5.389427 9.565540 17.262317
2025-06-01 0.413415 0.814634 1.544052 2.952626 5.589202 10.288136 19.264593
2025-06-08 0.360027 0.739241 1.455625 2.891419 5.678584 10.821017 20.984984
2025-06-15 0.341808 0.728905 1.486408 3.057254 6.209882 12.213649 24.454477
2025-06-22 0.315950 0.700596 1.481135 3.157523 6.639081 13.487905 27.903022
2025-06-29 0.283920 0.654323 1.433358 3.165300 6.885244 14.439692 30.843367
2025-07-06 0.241507 0.578513 1.313164 3.003790 6.758878 14.630306 32.260457
2025-07-13 0.225428 0.559595 1.312493 3.100993 7.197724 16.038460 36.409652
2025-07-20 0.215169 0.552642 1.337318 3.258579 7.790326 17.843587 41.641286
2025-07-27 0.200203 0.531801 1.327142 3.333442 8.204187 19.306430 46.291000
2025-08-03 0.184254 0.505858 1.301054 3.366349 8.523508 20.593543 50.695499
2025-08-10 0.163268 0.463337 1.228259 3.273784 8.527388 21.151954 53.455615
2025-08-17 0.141494 0.414966 1.133485 3.111286 8.334306 21.216694 55.025360
2025-08-24 0.129489 0.391651 1.100234 3.104161 8.535544 22.261421 59.143807
2025-08-31 0.116364 0.362933 1.048410 3.039811 8.578312 22.916141 62.353633